Thursday, August 12, 2010

The collapse of the consensus, the myth of popular capitalism, and the 'new realism' posted by Richard Seymour

Some aspects of the cuts debate are continuing under my last rejoinder, which you might want to check out. I want to flesh out an important point regarding the mythologies about class and politics that became a New Labour mainstay. These include the myth that the majority had abandoned class consciousness, instead becoming 'aspirational', and as such had embraced core aspects of Thatcherism ('popular capitalism'), moved away from social democracy and were turned off by appeals to egalitarianism and public ownership.

That these are indeed myths, I will show in due course. But they have origins particularly in the right-wing lurch in the higher echelons of the trade union leadership and the Labour Party in the early 1980s, that was sometimes known then as 'the new realism'. They did not originate from within the labour movement, but rather are an adaptation to ideas developed by the right-wing of the Conservative Party since the late 1960s, and aggressively pushed by segments of the capitalist media, most famously represented by the Selsdon Group, a 'free market' pressure group set up by Nicholas Ridley in 1973. How they came to be currency in the right-wing of the labour movement has to do with the failure of the 1974-1979 Labour government.

I've written elsewhere of how the New Left emerged in response to the collapse of the post-war consensus. It coincided with the emergence of a radical left-wing leadership in the trade union movement, and the arrival of a militant shop stewards' movement. But what it did not do was feed into a movement to build an alternative to the Labour Party, as people like Ralph Miliband thought was necessary. The forces of the revolutionary left were too small, and the numbers of people on the left prepared to break with Labourism were insignificant. Rather, it fed into a surge in the Labour Left's fortunes, whose hopes were pinned on a Labour victory, delivered twice in 1974.

Let's consider the manifesto that Labour won on in February 1974, and again in October 1974. It included the commitment to price controls, a wealth tax, caps on rents, and protection for tenants against eviction. On health, it promised to abolish prescription charges and democratise local health authorities. On racism and imperialism, it promised to eliminate racist discrimination in nationality laws, end Britain's involvement with apartheid, and reduce defence spending. On industry and employment, it committed to an exansion of public control of industry including in profitable industries (socialising gains as well as losses), making existing nationalised industries more responsible to workers and users and properly "socialise existing nationalised industries" (interesting distinction). The 25 leading companies would be nationalised, according to the Alternative Economic Strategy upon which the manifesto was substantially based. It pledged to create a National Enterprise Board to further socialise industry, the intervention of the state and notably it pledged its support for "industrial democracy", wherein (as per the Labour Programme 1973) workers would have a direct representation through trade union channels in the management of industries.

Much of that programme owes itself to Tony Benn, who took on board the New Left's criticisms of social democracy, and urged the party leadership to move to the Left in order to win the election and effect a fundamental shift in the balance of wealth and power in British society, such that no government could feasibly turn it back without facing the resistance of a powerful grassroots democracy. It is fair to say that he over-estimated the ability of a Labour government to achieve a fraction of this, and under-estimated the ability of the state and private capital to resist it. Leaving the bulk of economic power in the hands of private capital, Labour nonetheless expected them to meekly accept tax rises, more government oversight, a workers' share in the control of industry, the socialisation of profitable companies... there was no way they were allowing this to happen.

It was a utopian programme in the strict sense that no thought had been given to the range of social forces it would be necessary to assemble and mobilise in order that its goals could be achieved, and its accomplishments protected. It was simply assumed that an elected government could bring these changes about, and that once implemented the ruling class would have no alternative but to accept them. What Benn was attempting was a radicalised version of Labour's traditional mission to bridge the gap between nation and class - that is, to tie the improvement of working class living conditions to the improvement of international economic competitiveness. Even so, the ambition the programme is a tribute to the way in which successful struggles had fired up the radical imagination. The atmosphere was such that even the traditionalist, pragmatist, right-wing Labour leadership felt compelled to accept it, and millions of working class people put their faith in it.

***

The 1974-1979 Labour government produced a terrible disillusionment. This opened the way for the split in the post-war Labour electoral coalition that took place between 1979 and 1983. Why? A number of things. Firstly, Labour didn't deliver. It found itself compelled to impose spending cuts to win loans and stabilise the currency, and pay cuts to restore profitability, and thus competitiveness, to British capital. Senior civil servants, the Labour Right, and the IMF worked in different ways to block the most radical of Labour's proposed reforms. Treasury officials worked to frustrate the radical policies promised in the Alternative Economic Strategy. The CBI threatened an investment strike if Tony Benn got his way, and considered illegal measures to subvert the government. That proved unnecessary in the end. 'Industrial democracy' was dropped as a policy goal, and the ambitious public ownership programme produced only a few nationalisations mainly to prop up failing businesses. Far from the rich being squeezed, it was wages that were held down.

Secondly, the supposed means of delivering a new society became the means by which working people suffered - the social contract, for example, which restricted wage increases to 5% at a time when inflation soared far higher, sometimes as high as 20%. The real terms pay cuts were deeper than those Heath had achieved. It was the institutions of the labour movement, the TUC General Council in lock step with a Labour government, that imposed this austerity, and it was more effective for that. Similarly, the idea of workers having a share of control in industry was commuted into the goal of 'participation', which basically meant that union officials presided along with management over harsh productivity deals. The victimisation and sacking of the famous Communist Party activist at Longbridge, Derek 'Red Robbo' Robinson, was driven in part by a special branch campaign against him. However, his involvement alongside management in enforcing productivity deals made his isolation possible. As did his encouraging workers to cross picket lines when the union leadership decided not to back a strike. 'Participation', far from democratising industry, coopted the union convenors, stewards and leadership in a harsher and more exploitative work regime, at just the time that wages were falling.

Thirdly, Keynesianism - upon which the Labour Left staked its alternative economic strategy - experienced a profound crisis. In theory, there was a trade off between prices and employment. As long as unemployment remained at around 2.5%, or thereabouts, inflationary pressures would subside. Therefore, it was entirely possible to spend one's way out of a recession, creating jobs and stimulating investment. But the 1970s showed that you could have high inflation, and high unemployment together. That is, there would be a rise in inflation followed by an economic slump in which inflation would only dip slightly while unemployment soared. High energy prices and the ability of monopoly capital to jack up consumer prices were jointly responsible for this. James Callaghan explained, as he was made Prime Minister in 1976, that it was no longer possible for governments to spend their way out of recession. Each time they did so, they merely added inflation to the system, and increased the level of unemployment that would follow in any future slump. As chancellor, then, Denis Healey focused on counterinflationary policies, pioneering the monetarist doctrine that Thatcher would briefly take up as her mantra. The ensuing bust-up with the labour movement, which the union leadership did everything it could to avoid, became known as the 'winter of discontent'.

***

The period from 1975-77 was characterised by a lull in strike actions, with days lost in 1976 the lowest for a decade. This had been because of the cooperation of the trade union leadership. The imposition of stage IV of the social contract, which pegged pay rises at 5%, produced a flood of strike actions, with more days lost in 1979 than in any year since 1926 (though, to be clear, the general strike still dwarfed the 1979 struggles), and higher than during the miners' strike in 1984. But the high level of militancy didn't necessarily reflect strength. During the post-war period in which organised labour had been powerful, strikes had been brief because they won easily - hence strike days lost were relatively few. The high level of industrial conflict reflected an employers' offensive that, moreover, was winning - with the labour movement increasingly demoralised and fragmented.

In that year, Labour was a hopeless shambles of a government, easy meat for Thatcher's Conservatives. Having lost MPs in bye-elections and become a minority government by 1977, it had held onto power through parliamentary contrivances, including a pact with David Steel's Liberals. It had no solutions, no alternative, no hope, no way, no how. Given the failure of the main left alternative, much of the public moved to the right. Majorities supported drastically reducing trade union power, though that did not last. On an increased turnout, the Tories won with 44% of the vote.

Right-wing Labourites, who had supported Roy Jenkins in the 1976 leadership contest, were preparing a split that would end up joining with the Liberals. Their Campaign for a Labour Victory later joined with the Social Democratic Alliance, a group formed by academics and others to fight the Labour Left, and in 1981 became the SDP. The rightist split was grossly irresponsible. with damaging long-term effects on British politics, but it was not an act of malice. The problem was that the liberal wing of the Labour Party was, like the Liberal Party, committed to conserving the post-war compromise, while the Labour Left was unsuccessfully trying to transcend it. As the liberals saw it, the Labour Left's ability to mobilise the party's machinery was forcing the party to adopt wildly unrealistic policies that would never be implemented, thus leading to demoralisation and defeat. This was partially based on a paranoid over-estimation of the Labour Left's forces, which - notwithstanding the brief upsurge of Bennism as youth riots spread across British cities - was in retreat. But they also believed that the union link was preventing Labour from adopting realistic policies, and that the idea of having a class-based party was at best outmoded. Hence, their goal was to realign British politics with the balance of power held by a centrist, cross-class party.

However, they would have got nowhere had the post-war compromise not been in meltdown since the late 1960s, during which time the Liberal vote first started to recover as an alternative to the big two parties, and had the government upon which the Labour Left pinned its hopes not turned out so disastrously. The emergence of a large centrist vote in the early 1980s was the culmination of a long-term trend, but it was compounded by the bitterness with the Labour Party and disappointment with the failure of late 1970s militancy. It produced the catastrophic defeat of 1983, and marked a long term split in the post-war Labour coalition. The fact that almost a third of trade unionists backed the SDP-Liberal Alliance, and only 40% voted for Labour, confirmed the damage that the 1974-79 government had done to its base. In fact, many of the new trade unionists were 'white collar'. Though their working conditions were not fundamentally different from those of 'blue collar' workers, they emerged during the period in which Labour had been in government and imposed many of the policies which they themselves had been compelled to combat. Therefore they did not, unlike previous generations of unionised workers, automatically identify Labourism as their natural political expression.

***

As always, the Labour right used the defeats to argue for a conservative retrenchment. In this, they were backed by the 'Eurocommunist' faction of the Communist Party, including luminaries such as Eric Hobsbawm. The capture of the NEC by the right-wing in 1981 was followed by Neil Kinnock and Roy Hattersley taking the leadership for the Right in 1983, and thus began the process of crushing the Left, witch-hunting the Militants, and abandoning policies with a left-wing semblance. Just as the trade union leadership embraced a 'new realism' with respect to industrial relations, emphasising cooperation with the Thatcher government, so Labour embraced a 'new realism' with respect to its key policies. Ron Todd, head of the TGWU, was cited by Kinnock in support of his right-wing stance: "What do you say to a docker who earns £400 a week, owns his own house, a new car, a microwave and a video, as well as a small place near Marbella? You do not say - let me take you out of your misery, brother."

It was a complete fabrication. No docker earned that much per week. But it perfectly encapsulated the narrative of 'popular capitalism', developed by the Thatcherites in the 1970s and repeated ad nauseum by the mass media in the 1980s. People owned shares now, or wanted to. They owned property, or aspired to. Rather than advocate public ownership of industries, it was better to support public private partnerships or share options for employees, as the Liberal-SDPers advocated. Workers, they said, were accustomed to high living standards, and thus less given to solidaristic politics. They were doing well, or confident about doing well - even in an era of mass unemployment, growing poverty, and the re-emergence of homelessness. The forward march of labour was not only halted, but in reverse, because the comforts of capitalist society had led to an embourgeoisement of the proletariat, such that they aspired not to socialism, but to greater capitalist success. Labour had no choice, according to Kinnock, Hattersley, Hobsbawm, and the right-wing union leaders, but to adapt to this emerging situation and craft policies to appeal to the aspirations of those workers.

The sociologist Huw Beynon has written of how pro-government advertising campaigns in the 1980s, often by public bodies, sought to convey the impression that Britain was becoming a classless nation of consumers. These campaigns appropriated the reassembled iconography of the Left, and working class counter-culture, using images of miners or Karl Marx, to communicate the new 'popular capitalism'. At the same time, the government changed its gathering of data, so that the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys announced in 1987 that it was no longer going to collect data on classes - a decision that was later revoked. (New Labour came up with a more subtle initiative in 1998, simply changing the definition of class so that the great majority would fit into the category, 'middle class'). In short, these myths were self-consciously created to obscure the deep unpopularity of Thatcherite policies, and the surprising resilience of core left-wing ideas.

***

Contrary to the myth of popular capitalism, only 4% of workers owned shares in 1987, and only 13% of the population as a whole. Today, individual share ownership accounts for 10% of total share values, with most accounted for by overseas owners in the US and EU, and institutional investors such as banks and financial institutions. The Department of Work and Pensions maintained in 2005 that 20% of households owned some shares but, as the UK Shareholders Association pointed out to its members, "the vast majority hold only a few shares".

Home ownership is one thing that did spread a little with 'right to buy', but it was not much more widespread in 1990 than it had been in 1980, and home ownership had been rising at a steady rate since the 1950s. What Thatcher did was not to radically increase the number of homes owned, but to ration housing, so that prices continually rose and so that the housing market could become a speculative entity enabling owners to borrow against the soaring value of their property to sustain consumption. But even this did not fundamentally affect people's voting habits.

The British Social Attitudes Survey of 1987 found that attitudes on the conflict between workers and management, on class conflict, on welfare, price controls, job creation, import controls, defence spending and a whole array of topics, remained basically social democratic, and this was especially among working class voters. Rather than evincing enthusiasm for a party of 'popular capitalism', most people thought the Tories represented only one class, and this was reflected in the fact that most did not vote for Thatcher. Majorities continued to self-identify as working class, and continued to believe that, as the social attitudes survey question has it, "there is a class war going on in this country". As Gordon Brown acknowledged at the time, Thatcherism never made much of an impact on British public opinion.

The myth of popular capitalism was allowed to take hold largely because the Labour Party itself abandoned the politics of redistribution and public ownership, and embraced Thatcherism. Public attitudes on class, inequality and welfare didn't fundamentally change in response to 18 years of Tory rule - in fact, the evidence is that they moved to the left somewhat. However, the Labour Party has a decisive ability to shape popular attitudes because of its relationship to working class voters, the trade union movement, and its hegemony over most forces left-of-centre. New Labour shifted public opinion to the right on, eg, redistribution, welfare and race, far more successfully than the Tories did. Even so, it was unable to shift opinion to the right on everything. For example, its privatization agenda was never popular, and 67% of people favour renationalising all public utilities privatised in the last 25 years. The point, though, is that the politics of abandoning and de-emphasising class, prevalent among the centre-left in the New Labour era, has been built on myths prepared by the Right. It was supposed to enable the renewal of social democracy with the possibility of an electoral coalition between Labour and the Liberal Democrats - such was the aim of Labour's right-wing 'modernisers'. But far from consolidating a progressive twenty-first century coalition, it has led to the profound degeneration of social democracy, the entrenchment of reactionary social policies to cope with the fall out from rising inequality, crackdowns on civil liberties to contain protest movements, and ultimately the emergence of a shabby ConDem coalition that could - if the Orange Liberals have their way - realign British politics further to the right. Reinstating class as a central heuristic and organising principle for the left is vital.

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Sunday, July 25, 2010

Monopoly Capital Blocks Rational Policy of Wage-led Growth posted by Yoshie

What lesson might the working classes of the global North take from what's happening in China? Canadian journalist Paul Jay spells it out in plain English.



Paul Jay: So we've been talking about macroeconomic policy, the G-20, austerity. And there was one little line in the G-20 document I thought was interesting, and it's sort of buried in amongst everything. It said countries could facilitate wages going up proportional to productivity, which is rather interesting, 'cause it's the only time I've ever heard it even mentioned by these guys. There's quite a big section about how wages need to go up in China. There they understand the need for increasing demand. And we've heard President Obama say, we can't be the consumer engine of the world anymore, you guys have to do it, looking at China. And they talk about increasing the social safety net in China. They even talk about allowing strike struggles in China so wages can go up, but they sure don't talk about it when it comes to their own places. . . . So the problem is -- and this is where it becomes a political problem. I mean, it's not that difficult to sit down and kind of envision a rational solution to all of this -- you just can't pass it anywhere. The way that the politics is controlled and the small gang of people that actually own the commanding heights of the economy, starting with the banks, they don't allow any of this to actually get passed, so you get to an impasse. You can talk rational visions, but you can't execute on it.

The lesson given by Jay is a Kaleckian one, one of the most important lessons, especially today, as we struggle against the drive to austerity in the North. First of all, make clear what obstacle needs to be removed if the rational alternative is to be implemented.

To that Kaleckian lesson, however, we want to add a Gorzian one, especially in the United States: take productivity gains more in the form of gains in disposable time than in the form of more consumption. That's our socialist ticket out of crisis, economic and environmental.

Minimum transitional demands: retirement at 50 with full benefits; free education and social wages for students (all the way up to doctoral degrees for those who want them); paid parental leaves (six years for each new child); two months of paid vacations per year at minimum; indefinite unemployment benefits (to last till the ruling classes come up with worthy jobs at worthy wages for the unemployed).

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Saturday, May 01, 2010

Liberals taking Labour's place? posted by Richard Seymour


Nick Clegg, undoubtedly flushed from having secured The Guardian's backing, is seeking to woo Labour voters by claiming that the Liberal Democrats have taken the place of Labour in UK politics. He explains: "I have always accepted the first part of Roy Jenkins's analysis which says that historically Labour and Liberal Democrats are two wings of a progressive tradition in British politics." But now the Liberals are ahead of Labour in the polls (though the electoral system is unlikely to translate that into seats), he believes that his party can take Labour's place as the main opponent of the Tories. He states that, to this purpose, he is now going all out for a Liberal Democrat majority, and rejects the call for tactical voting that soft left groups like Compass are backing.

Now, I think this is more than mere hubris on Clegg's part, but not much more than hubris. It is true that Labourism was always an electoral pact between liberals and socialists. It is true that the Liberal Democrats and the Labour Party are organisations resulting from a factional split by the liberals. It is true that hundreds of thousands, and perhaps a million or so, Labour voters could now defect to the Liberal Democrats in 2010. I would not be surprised. Nor would I be displeased to the Liberals take out a few of the Blairites - eg, Luciana Berger in Liverpool Wavertree, a dimwitted careerist who made an arse of herself upon resigning from the NUS a few years ago, and whose handlers won't even let her pop out for a jar of coffee in case she commits a pratfall. But to say that this would signify the Liberals taking Labour's place in politics would be to forget how and why the Liberals re-emerged as a serious political force in the late twentieth century. The abridged narrative that we usually get is that Labour responded to the 1979 defeat by moving to the radical Left, apparently oblivious to the fact that the population was moving to the right. In despair, sensible liberals like Roy Jenkins, David Owen and Shirley Williams left the sinking ship and formed a new party to realign British politics - a party which would no longer be based on the old fixed class identities. That new party formed a natural alliance with the Liberals in the 1983 and 1987 elections, made powerful advances into Labour territory, then took the logical and long overdue step of merging with them.

In fact, the Labour coalition had been experiencing trouble for some time. Liberalism had started to make serious headway electorally from the late 1960s, at just the same time as the nationalist parties in Scotland and Wales. Labour voters, disaffected by the experience of Labour governments, were searching for an alternative kind of reformism. Some of this was because of the experience of trade unionists under Labour, which had consistently ended up in pitch battles with organised labour. The radicalisation of the 1970s therefore, did not actually have the effect of increasing support for the Labour Party, as had been the case in the past. In fact, Labour's membership fell, as did its total vote, between 1970 and 1974, and in the February 1974 general elections, the Liberals gained almost 20% of the vote for the first time since 1929. This did not come exclusively from the growing 'new middle class' of managers and supervisors, but increasingly from trade unionists. In 1964, 73% of trade unionists voted for the Labour Party. In 1974, only 55% did. By the time of the 1983 election, it was down to 39%.

When the post-war consensus that had underpinned the Labourist electoral coalition started to crumble, so did the coalition. Most of the working class base moved to the Left, and a sort of germinal grassroots democracy started to emerge. There was unprecedented levels of debate, a flourishing of ideas, in the movement. The Labour Party left drew the conclusion from the failure of Heath's incomes policies, the 1973 crisis and the rising arc of industrial militancy, that it was necessary to move beyond the consensus, effecting a radical shift in the balance of wealth and power in society. This meant higher taxation, an attack on inherited wealth, and the creation of cooperatives in failing industries to give workers a share of power (as an alternative to older models of nationalisation that simply reproduced the hierarchies prevalent in the private sector). That they found themselves unable to deliver these changes, they said, was due to an undemocratic and hostile state bureaucracy - confirming the diagnosis of Ralph Miliband, without sharing his recommended solution.

The Liberals under Jeremy Thorpe offered themselves as a party of the "radical centre". They pledged to save Britain from a see-saw between the "Party of Management" and the "Party of Trade Unions", to overcome the old class divisions. As good liberal pluralists, they maintained that managers and workers were merely two of many special interest groups in society, whose disputes could be arbitrated and resolved by a benevolent government. Labour could not do this because, dependent as it was on the unions it could not operate an efficient incomes policy. (Quite the reverse, as it transpired: Labour's relationship with the trade union bureaucracy left it in a better position to negotiate the Social Contract). By the same token, a Tory party dependent on big business for its funding could not constrain prices. The old class-based parties had failed. The Liberals did not deny that there was a material basis for class divisions, and said they would attenuate this with a radical redistribution of wealth. But the basis of Liberal policy would be the individual, not masses and classes. Despite the particular ideological inflections I have mentioned here, the Liberals were merely upholding the consensus, which had failed. Their plea for some sort of class compromise was a plea for precisely the sort of arrangement that was no longer working.

The Tories, of course, responded to the crisis of the post-war order by moving toward the radical free market right: first with Heath's 'Selsdon Man', which fell to pieces, and then with the Hayekians, Friedmanites, and Pinochistas who took control of the party in 1975. Like the Liberals, they believed it was possible to move beyond class, and that individuals were what mattered. Unlike the Liberals, they weren't interested in incomes policies or price controls to achieve sovereignty of the individual. They believed that you had to take on the trade unions as the single biggest impediment on the rights of individuals to dispose of property and the profits of that property as they saw fit. The specific dogmas they espoused in this respect were not indispensable. When monetarism was seen not to be working as a policy, they dropped it. But even that was not a simple intellectual error. Hayek, Thatcher's court philosopher, understood that the point of monetarism was to put countering inflation at the centre of the agenda, and to recognise that inflation was not merely the result of macro-economic mismanagement but of the balance of political power between the unions and the employers. An attack on inflation was therefore an attack on full employment, collective bargaining and union strength.

So, you had a crisis in the post-war system; a Labour Party whose left wanted to move beyond the consensus and radically level the wealth and political power in society; a Conservative Party which wanted to move beyond the consensus and introduce radical new modes of class power; and a Liberal Party which was sticking doggedly to Butskellism. The SDP were effectively of the same opinion as the Liberals on this basic question. And in 1983, the Liberal/SDP Alliance assembled the broadest possible cross-class vote in favour of the post-war consensus. And they were indeed successful in mobilising a sizeable vote from all classes. While Labour still relied disproportionately on the support of manual workers, and the Tories found their bedrock in the lower middle class, the Liberals were not overly reliant on a single class bloc, though they tended to aim for the relatively more affluent workers. If Tory voters were mobilised by their party's stance on privatization (82%), and Labour voters by unemployment (84%), there was no single issue on which Alliance voters were galvanised. It was the general ideological outlook, centrist on class issues, radical on issues of crime and defence, that appealed to their voters.

So, a majority rejected Thatcherism, voting either for the post-war consensus or a radical alternative to it. But, and this is why the Lib and Lab factions of the "progressive tradition" needed each other, the first-past-the-post system did not translate this into an anti-Thatcherite majority in parliament. The seats system in the UK had always been rotten, from before the First Reform Act of 1832 until after the Fifth Reform Act of 1928, and it had usually worked to the advantage of the right. The Liberals, anxious to escape an alliance with the trade unions, have long proposed proportional representation. Labour, determined to maintain a monopoly on all social forces left-of-centre, have only fitfully assented to this idea. Instead, they moved farther and farther to the right, desperate to recapitulate the old electoral coalition, ultimately unsuccessful in doing so. The Tories were able to force through neoliberal reforms with all the appearance of a real mandate, and both Labour and the Liberals have adapted to that situation. Now the Liberals are run by their 'Orange Book' faction, Labour is run by the Blairites, and the Tories... well, there's a book on that topic coming out soon.

If the Liberals overtake Labour in the polls, therefore, it will not be a case of the Liberals taking the place once occupied by Labour. As in 1974, as much of their new support is coming from Tories as from Labour supporters. They are effective at outflanking Labour to the Left when they want to, which is what they're trying to do in the campaign literature I have received through my door. But their basic stance in this crisis is that they are beholden neither to the unions nor to the bankers. It's the same formula as in their 1974 manifestos, the same goal of building a centrist bloc. The difference now is that there has been no sustained radicalisation in the working class, and Labour is not standing on a left-wing manifesto; nor has there been a generalised move to the right in the population, and the Tories are doing everything they possibly can not to appear to be too right-wing. Given the prevailing ideological disorientation, the absence of mass resistance to the recession, the hatred for the bankers, the contempt for the MPs who like big expense accounts and are on sale to American lobbyists, and the utter alienation from the main parties - well, given all this, a space is naturally opening for an 'honest broker' who can appear to transcend the "special interests" and efficiently manage our way through the present crisis. The trouble is, whoever governs for the next five years is about to watch that space disappear.

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